\t\u7279\u5340\u653f\u5e9c\u73fe\u6b63\u5c31\u300a\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e00\u4e8c\u5e74\u884c\u653f\u9577\u5b98\u53ca\u7acb\u6cd5\u6703\u7522\u751f\u8fa6\u6cd5\u8aee\u8a62\u6587\u4ef6\u300b\u4f5c\u516c\u773e\u8aee\u8a62\u3002\u70ba\u63a2\u8a0e\u5e02\u6c11\u5c0d\u6709\u95dc\u554f\u984c\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u4e2d\u6587\u5927\u5b78\u9999\u6e2f\u4e9e\u592a\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u6210\u7acb\u4e86\u653f\u5236\u6539\u9769\u7814\u7a76\u5c0f\u7d44\uff0c\u5c31\u5e02\u6c11\u5c0d\u653f\u5e9c\u65b9\u6848\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u76f8\u95dc\u653f\u6539\u8b70\u984c\u7684\u614b\u5ea6\u4f5c\u7cfb\u7d71\u6027\u7684\u96fb\u8a71\u6c11\u610f\u8abf\u67e5\u3002\u9996\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u5df2\u65bc\u53bb\u5e74\u5341\u4e8c\u6708\u4e8c\u5341\u4e8c\u65e5\u81f3\u4e09\u5341\u65e5\u5b8c\u6210\uff0c\u6700\u65b0\u4e00\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u65bc\u672c\u5e74\u4e00\u6708\u4e8c\u5341\u516b\u65e5\u81f3\u4e8c\u6708\u56db\u65e5\u9032\u884c\uff0c\u4e26\u65bc\u9999\u6e2f\u4e9e\u592a\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u4eca\u5929\uff08\u4e8c\u6708\u5341\u4e8c\u65e5\uff09\u8209\u8fa6\u7684\u300c\u9999\u6e2f\u653f\u5236\u6539\u9769\u4f55\u8655\u53bb\u300d\u653f\u5236\u7814\u8a0e\u6703\u4e0a\u767c\u8868\u3002\u662f\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u6210\u529f\u8a2a\u554f\u4e861,009\u4f4d18\u6b72\u6216\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u5e02\u6c11\uff0c\u6210\u529f\u56de\u61c9\u7387\u70ba48.6%\u3002\u4ee51,009\u500b\u6a23\u672c\u6578\u63a8\u8ad6\uff0c\u5c07\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\uff08confidence level\uff09\u8a2d\u65bc95%\uff0c\u9019\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u7684\u62bd\u6a23\u8aa4\u5dee\u7d04\u70ba\u6b63\u6216\u8ca03.09%\u4ee5\u5167\u3002\u8207\u4e0a\u6b21\u7684\u8abf\u67e5\u4e00\u6a23\uff0c\u8abf\u67e5\u6578\u64da\u7d93\u52a0\u6b0a\u8655\u7406\uff08\u6309\u9999\u6e2f\u653f\u5e9c\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u4e8c\u96f6\u96f6\u4e5d\u5e74\u5e74\u4e2d18\u6b72\u6216\u4ee5\u4e0a\u6027\u5225\u53ca\u5e74\u9f61\u5206\u5e03\u70ba\u53c3\u7167\uff0c\u5c07\u662f\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u6a23\u672c\u7684\u6709\u95dc\u5206\u5e03\u4f5c\u6bd4\u4f8b\u6027\u7684\u8abf\u6574\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u6e1b\u4f4e\u8abf\u67e5\u6a23\u672c\u504f\u96e2\u5168\u6e2f\u771f\u5be6\u4eba\u53e3\u5206\u5e03\u60c5\u6cc1\u6240\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u81f4\u7684\u504f\u5dee\u3002\u8abf\u67e5\u7d50\u679c\u6458\u8981\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/p>
\t\uff08\u4e00\uff09\u5c0d\u653f\u5e9c\u65b9\u6848\u4e3b\u8981\u5efa\u8b70\u7684\u610f\u898b<\/p>
\t- \u653f\u5e9c\u65b9\u6848\u5efa\u8b70\uff0c\u5c07\u8ca0\u8cac\u9078\u8209\u884c\u653f\u9577\u5b98\u7684\u9078\u8209\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u5728\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e00\u4e8c\u5e74\u7531\u73fe\u6642\u7684800\u4eba\u589e\u52a0\u81f31,200\u4eba\uff0c\u6309\u539f\u6709\u56db\u5927\u754c\u5225\u5404\u52a0100\u4eba\u7d44\u6210\u3002\u8abf\u67e5\u7d50\u679c\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u6709 56.4% \u7684\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u8868\u793a\u8d0a\u6210\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u56de\u7b54\u300c\u8d0a\u6210\u300d\u53ca\u300c\u975e\u5e38\u8d0a\u6210\u300d\uff0c\u4e0b\u540c\uff09\uff0c\u4e0d\u8d0a\u6210\u7684\u6709 28.1%\uff08\u898b\u8868\u4e00\uff09\u3002
\t- \u5728\u7acb\u6cd5\u6703\u9078\u8209\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u5efa\u8b702012\u5e74\u7684\u7acb\u6cd5\u6703\u9078\u8209\uff0c\u76f4\u9078\u8207\u529f\u80fd\u7d44\u5225\u5404\u589e\u52a0\u4e94\u5e2d\u3002\u5c0d\u65bc\u9019\u500b\u5efa\u8b70\uff0c\u670954.1%\u7684\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u8d0a\u540c\uff0c32.7%\u8868\u793a\u4e0d\u8d0a\u540c\uff08\u898b\u8868\u4e8c\uff09\u3002
\t- \u5c0d\u65bc\u653f\u5e9c\u5efa\u8b702012\u5e74\u7684\u7acb\u6cd5\u6703\u9078\u8209\uff0c\u65b0\u589e\u76845\u500b\u529f\u80fd\u7d44\u5225\u8b70\u5e2d\uff0c\u7531\u6c11\u9078\u5340\u8b70\u54e1\u4e92\u9078\u7522\u751f\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u8d0a\u540c\u7684\u670958.1%\uff0c\u800c\u6301\u76f8\u53cd\u610f\u898b\u7684\u4ea6\u670932.8%\uff08\u898b\u8868\u4e09\uff09\u3002
\t- \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u653f\u5e9c\u65b9\u6848\u6c92\u6709\u63d0\u53ca\u59d4\u4efb\u5340\u8b70\u54e1\u5ee2\u5b58\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u4f46\u793e\u6703\u4e0a\u4e00\u5411\u6709\u610f\u898b\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u61c9\u4e00\u4f75\u5c07\u59d4\u4efb\u5340\u8b70\u54e1\u5236\u5ea6\u53d6\u6d88\u3002\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u6642\u5df2\u767c\u73fe\u8d85\u904e\u516d\u6210\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u8d0a\u540c\u5ee2\u9664\u59d4\u4efb\u5340\u8b70\u54e1\u5236\u5ea6\uff0c\u800c\u4eca\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u4ea6\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u6709 63.3% \u7684\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u8868\u793a\u8d0a\u6210\uff0c\u4e0d\u8d0a\u6210\u7684\u6709 29.1%\uff08\u898b\u8868\u56db\uff09\u3002\u82e5\u5c07\u5169\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u4f5c\u6bd4\u8f03\uff0c\u7d50\u679c\u5747\u5341\u5206\u63a5\u8fd1\uff0c\u8b8a\u5316\u4e0d\u5927\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u5927\u591a\u6578\u5e02\u6c11\u8d0a\u540c\u53d6\u6d88\u59d4\u4efb\u5340\u8b70\u54e1\u7684\u614b\u5ea6\u9817\u70ba\u4e00\u81f4\u3002<\/p>
\t\uff08\u4e8c\uff09\u5c0d\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u6539\u65b9\u6848\u7684\u8a55\u50f9\u53ca\u652f\u6301\u5ea6<\/p>
\t- \u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5efa\u8b70\u65b9\u6848\u516c\u5e03\u5f8c\uff0c\u6709\u6279\u8a55\u6307\u9019\u65b9\u6848\u662f\u300c\u6c11\u4e3b\u5012\u9000\u300d\uff0c\u4f46\u4ea6\u6709\u610f\u898b\u8a8d\u70ba\u65b9\u6848\u662f\u300c\u5411\u6c11\u4e3b\u8e0f\u524d\u4e00\u6b65\u300d\u3002\u7e7c\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u5f8c\uff0c\u9019\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u518d\u5ea6\u8a62\u554f\u5dff\u6c11\u7684\u610f\u898b\uff0c\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\uff0c40.3% \u7684\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u8a8d\u70ba\u65b9\u6848\u662f\u300c\u5411\u6c11\u4e3b\u8e0f\u524d\u4e00\u6b65\u300d\uff0c\u4f46\u8a8d\u70ba\u9019\u662f\u300c\u6c11\u4e3b\u5012\u9000\u300d\u7684\u4e5f\u6709 30.3%\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5206\u5225\u6709 13.7%\u53ca15.7% \u8868\u793a\u300c\u5169\u8005\u90fd\u4e0d\u662f\u300d\u548c\u300c\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\uff0f\u5f88\u96e3\u8aaa\u300d\uff08\u898b\u8868\u4e94\uff09\u3002\u8207\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u6bd4\u8f03\uff0c\u7d50\u679c\u76f8\u7576\u63a5\u8fd1\uff0c\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u8a8d\u70ba\u65b9\u6848\u662f\u300c\u5411\u6c11\u4e3b\u8e0f\u524d\u4e00\u6b65\u300d\u7684\u7a0d\u4f54\u591a\u6578\uff0c\u60df\u8a8d\u70ba\u662f\u300c\u6c11\u4e3b\u5012\u9000\u300d\u4e5f\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u3002
\t- \u7576\u88ab\u554f\u53ca\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5efa\u8b70\u65b9\u6848\u5728\u6c11\u4e3b\u767c\u5c55\u6b65\u4f10\u4e0a\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u6642\uff0c\u9019\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u6709 53.3% \u7684\u53d7\u8005\u8a8d\u70ba\u300c\u592a\u6162\u300d\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u300c\u9069\u4e2d\u300d\u7684\u6709 36.4%\uff0c\u800c\u611f\u89ba\u300c\u592a\u5feb\u300d\u7684\u53ea\u6709 1.6%\uff08\u898b\u8868\u516d\uff09\u3002\u8207\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u6bd4\u8f03\uff0c\u5404\u56de\u61c9\u7684\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u8b8a\u52d5\u4e0d\u5927\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u6709\u8f03\u591a\u5e02\u6c11\u8a8d\u70ba\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5efa\u8b70\u65b9\u6848\u662f\u300c\u5411\u6c11\u4e3b\u8e0f\u524d\u4e00\u6b65\u300d\uff0c\u4f46\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u5e02\u6c11\u611f\u5230\u65b9\u6848\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u6b65\u4f10\u4ecd\u662f\u592a\u7de9\u6162\uff0c\u800c\u6301\u6709\u9019\u7a2e\u614b\u5ea6\u7684\u5e02\u6c11\u5728\u904e\u53bb\u5169\u500b\u6708\u4f86\u7684\u6578\u91cf\u76f8\u7576\u7a69\u5b9a\u3002
\t- \u5c0d\u65bc\u662f\u5426\u652f\u6301\u7acb\u6cd5\u6703\u8b70\u54e1\u901a\u904e\u653f\u5e9c\u5efa\u8b70\u7684\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e00\u4e8c\u5e74\u653f\u6539\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u9019\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u6709 51.2%\u7684\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u8868\u793a\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u8207\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u76f8\u82e5\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u4e0d\u652f\u6301\u7684\u5247\u8f15\u5fae\u4e0b\u964d\u4e86 1.2 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff08\u898b\u8868\u4e03\uff09\u3002\u6c11\u610f\u5c0d\u653f\u6539\u65b9\u6848\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u672a\u6709\u660e\u986f\u8b8a\u5316\u3002
\t\u793e\u6703\u4e0a\u6709\u610f\u898b\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u653f\u6539\u65b9\u6848\u5728\u76ee\u524d\u689d\u4ef6\u4e0b\u5df2\u7d93\u662f\u6700\u597d\u7684\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8abf\u67e5\u537b\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u6709 60.3% \u7684\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u5c0d\u6b64\u4e0d\u8868\u8a8d\u540c\uff0c\u8f03\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u4e0a\u5347 0.7 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff1b\u540c\u610f\u7684\u5247\u4f54 28.3%\uff0c\u8f03\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u4e0b\u964d 2.7 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff08\u898b\u8868\u516b\uff09\u3002\u7531\u6b64\u89c0\u4e4b\uff0c\u4f30\u8a08\u7d04\u6709\u516d\u6210\u5e02\u6c11\u8a8d\u70ba\u73fe\u6642\u653f\u5e9c\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u653f\u6539\u65b9\u6848\u4e26\u975e\u5b8c\u5584\uff0c\u4ecd\u9700\u8981\u6539\u5584\u3002
\t- \u793e\u6703\u4e0a\u4ea6\u6709\u610f\u898b\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6c92\u67092012\u5e74\u300c\u96d9\u666e\u9078\u300d\uff0c\u5c31\u61c9\u8a72\u5426\u6c7a\u653f\u5e9c\u65b9\u6848\u3002\u5c0d\u6b64\uff0c\u9019\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u986f\u793a\u6709 67.2% \u4e0d\u8868\u540c\u610f\uff0c\u8f03\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u660e\u986f\u4e0a\u5347 3.2 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff1b\u540c\u610f\u7684\u6709 20.8%\uff0c\u8f03\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u4e0b\u8dcc 2.9 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff08\u898b\u8868\u4e5d\uff09\u3002
\t- \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u793e\u6703\u4e0a\u53e6\u6709\u610f\u898b\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6c92\u6709\u78ba\u5207\u7684\u666e\u9078\u6642\u9593\u8868\u6216\u8def\u7dda\u5716\uff0c\u5c31\u4e0d\u61c9\u8a72\u901a\u904e\u653f\u5e9c\u65b9\u6848\u3002\u4eca\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u610f\u7684\u6709 43.8%\uff0c\u8f03\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u5fae\u5347 0.8 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff1b\u8868\u793a\u540c\u610f\u7684\u6709 41.7%\uff0c\u8f03\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u660e\u986f\u4e0b\u964d 3.7 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff08\u898b\u8868\u5341\uff09\u3002\u7d9c\u5408\u4e0a\u8ff0\u5169\u9805\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u6c11\u4e3b\u6d3e\u8b70\u54e1\u63a1\u8f03\u59a5\u5354\u7acb\u5834\u7684\uff0c\u53ef\u8aaa\u662f\u6709\u8f15\u5fae\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>
\t\uff08\u56db\uff09\u5c0d\u653f\u5236\u767c\u5c55\u7684\u5176\u4ed6\u610f\u898b<\/p>
\t- \u4eba\u5927\u5e38\u59d4\u6703\u66fe\u6c7a\u5b9a\u9999\u6e2f\u5728\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e00\u4e8c\u5e74\u4e0d\u6703\u5be6\u884c\u96d9\u666e\u9078\uff0c\u4f46\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e00\u4e03\u5e74\u53ef\u4ee5\u666e\u9078\u884c\u653f\u9577\u5b98\uff0c\u96a8\u5f8c\uff08\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e8c\u96f6\u5e74\uff09\u7acb\u6cd5\u6703\u5168\u9ad4\u8b70\u5e2d\u4ea6\u53ef\u4ee5\u7531\u666e\u9078\u7522\u751f\u3002\u8abf\u67e5\u7d50\u679c\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u6709 63.6% \u7684\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u8868\u793a\u63a5\u53d7\u4eba\u5927\u5e38\u59d4\u6703\u7684\u6c7a\u5b9a\uff0c\u8f03\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u660e\u986f\u4e0a\u5347 5.9 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff1b\u8868\u793a\u4e0d\u63a5\u53d7\u7684\u5247\u6709 24.7%\uff0c\u8f03\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u660e\u986f\u4e0b\u964d 5.8 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff08\u898b\u8868\u5341\u4e00\uff09\u3002\u7531\u6b64\u53ef\u898b\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6578\u5e02\u6c11\u662f\u63a5\u53d7\u4eba\u5927\u5e38\u59d4\u6703\u7684\u6709\u95dc\u6c7a\u5b9a\uff0c\u5e02\u6c11\u4e2d\u5c0d\u6c11\u4e3b\u767c\u5c55\u62b1\u52d9\u5be6\u614b\u5ea6\u7684\u70ba\u6578\u4e0d\u5c11\u3002
\t- \u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u8aee\u8a62\u6587\u4ef6\u4e2d\u4ea6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u9019\u6b21\u653f\u6539\u8aee\u8a62\u53ea\u6703\u8655\u7406\u7372\u4e2d\u592e\u653f\u5e9c\u6388\u6b0a\u7684\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e00\u4e8c\u5e74\u9078\u8209\uff0c\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e00\u4e03\u5e74\u884c\u653f\u9577\u5b98\u53ca\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e8c\u96f6\u5e74\u7acb\u6cd5\u6703\u7684\u9078\u8209\u4e8b\u5b9c\u5c07\u6703\u4ea4\u7531\u4e0b\u5c46\u653f\u5e9c\u8655\u7406\u3002\u5c0d\u65bc\u653f\u5e9c\u9019\u500b\u7acb\u5834\uff0c\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u7684\u610f\u898b\u4ecd\u7136\u76f8\u7576\u5206\u6b67\uff0c\u8d0a\u540c\u653f\u5e9c\u505a\u6cd5\u7684\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u670945.1%\uff0c\u8f03\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u8f15\u5fae\u4e0a\u5347 1.1 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff0c\u4e0d\u8d0a\u540c\u7684\u6709 42.8%\uff0c\u8f03\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u4e0b\u964d 2.2 \u500b\u9ede\uff08\u898b\u8868\u5341\u4e8c\uff09\u3002\u53ef\u898b\u6b63\u53cd\u5169\u65b9\u7684\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u4e0d\u904e\u534a\u6578\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u9019\u7a2e\u5206\u6b67\u5728\u904e\u53bb\u5169\u500b\u6708\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\u4e5f\u4e0d\u7b97\u5927\u3002
\t- \u96d6\u7136\u7279\u5340\u653f\u5e9c\u6c92\u6709\u5c0d\u5728\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e00\u4e8c\u5e74\u5be6\u884c\u7279\u9996\u548c\u7acb\u6cd5\u6703\u96d9\u666e\u9078\u4f5c\u51fa\u4efb\u4f55\u5efa\u8b70\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u6709 50.9% \u7684\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u8d0a\u6210\u7e7c\u7e8c\u5805\u6301\u722d\u53d6\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e00\u4e8c\u5e74\u5be6\u884c\u96d9\u666e\u9078\uff0c\u53cd\u5c0d\u7684\u5247\u6709 36.0%\uff08\u898b\u8868\u5341\u4e09\uff09\u3002\u8207\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u6bd4\u8f03\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u4e0d\u8d0a\u6210\u8207\u8d0a\u6210\u7684\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u5206\u5225\u4e0a\u5347 2.7 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u548c\u4e0b\u964d 1.8 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff0c\u60df\u8b8a\u5316\u5747\u5728\u96a8\u6a5f\u8aa4\u5dee\u4e4b\u5167\uff1b\u800c\u8d0a\u6210\u7e7c\u7e8c\u5805\u6301\u7684\u722d\u53d6\u4e8c\u96f6\u4e00\u4e8c\u5e74\u5be6\u884c\u96d9\u666e\u9078\u4ecd\u904e\u534a\u6578\uff0c\u53ef\u898b\u4e0d\u5c11\u5e02\u6c11\u5c0d\u76e1\u65e9\u63a8\u884c\u96d9\u666e\u9078\u4ecd\u62b1\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u671f\u671b\u3002
\t- \u96d6\u7136\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u65b9\u6848\u4e2d\u6c92\u6709\u8655\u7406\u9577\u9060\u529f\u80fd\u7d44\u5225\u9078\u8209\u7684\u5b58\u5ee2\u6216\u6539\u9769\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u4f46\u6709\u95dc\u8a0e\u8ad6\u537b\u6210\u70ba\u9019\u6b21\u8aee\u8a62\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u722d\u8b70\u9ede\u3002\u7576\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u88ab\u554f\u53ca\u5982\u9999\u6e2f\u53ef\u4ee5\u843d\u5be6\u666e\u9078\u7acb\u6cd5\u6703\uff0c\u529f\u80fd\u7d44\u5225\u9078\u8209\u61c9\u8a72\u53d6\u6d88\u9084\u662f\u4fdd\u7559\u6642\uff0c\u9019\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u986f\u793a\u6709\u8d85\u904e\u4e00\u534a\u7684\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u8a8d\u70ba\u61c9\u8a72\u53d6\u6d88\uff0850.9%\uff09\uff0c\u8f03\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u4e0a\u53471.2\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff1b\u8a8d\u70ba\u61c9\u8a72\u4fdd\u7559\u7684\u4ea6\u6709 36.6%\uff0c\u8f03\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u4e0b\u964d 0.5 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff08\u898b\u8868\u5341\u56db\uff09\u3002\u63db\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u8f03\u591a\u5e02\u6c11\u8a8d\u70ba\u666e\u9078\u7acb\u6cd5\u6703\u6642\u4e0d\u61c9\u8a72\u6709\u529f\u80fd\u7d44\u5225\u9078\u8209\u7684\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u6301\u9019\u7a2e\u614b\u5ea6\u7684\u5e02\u6c11\u4ea6\u6709\u5c11\u8a31\u8f15\u5fae\u4e0a\u5347\u8ff9\u8c61\uff0c\u60df\u4e0d\u53ef\u5ffd\u8996\u7684\u662f\u4ea6\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u5e02\u6c11\u89ba\u5f97\u529f\u80fd\u7d44\u5225\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u4fdd\u7559\u7684\u3002
\t- \u7576\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u8a62\u554f\u90a3\u4e9b\u8d0a\u540c\u53d6\u6d88\u529f\u80fd\u7d44\u5225\u9078\u8209\u7684\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\uff0c\u61c9\u4f55\u6642\u5168\u9762\u53d6\u6d88\u529f\u80fd\u7d44\u5225\u6642\uff0c\u6700\u591a\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u63d0\u53ca\u7684\u662f\u300c2012\u5e74\u300d\uff0843.5%\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u6b21\u662f\u300c2016\u5e74\u300d\uff0826.7%\uff09\u3001\u300c2020\u5e74\u300d\uff0811.6%\uff09\u53ca\u300c2020\u5e74\u4e4b\u5f8c\u300d\uff088.4%\uff09\uff08\u898b\u8868\u5341\u4e94\uff09\u3002\u7531\u6b64\u89c0\u4e4b\uff0c\u5c0d\u65bc\u8d0a\u540c\u53d6\u6d88\u529f\u80fd\u7d44\u5225\u9078\u8209\u7684\u5e02\u6c11\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u9078\u8209\u8d8a\u5feb\u53d6\u6d88\u8d8a\u597d\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u6975\u5c11\u6578\u8a8d\u70ba\u53ef\u4ee5\u57282020\u5e74\u5f8c\u624d\u53d6\u6d88\u3002
\t- \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u8d0a\u540c\u4fdd\u7559\u529f\u80fd\u7d44\u5225\u9078\u8209\u7684\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u4e2d\uff0c\u8d85\u904e\u516d\u6210\uff0861.9%\uff09\u8a8d\u70ba\u73fe\u6709\u7684\u529f\u80fd\u7d44\u5225\u9078\u8209\u9700\u8981\u6539\u9769\uff0c\u8a8d\u70ba\u4e0d\u9700\u8981\u53ea\u6709\u4e09\u6210\uff0830.1%\uff09\uff08\u898b\u8868\u5341\u516d\uff09\u3002\u7576\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u554f\u53ca\u8d0a\u540c\u6539\u9769\u7684\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u5982\u4f55\u6539\u9769\u6642\uff0c\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u5217\u51fa\u7684\u56db\u9805\u6539\u9769\u5efa\u8b70\u4e2d\uff0c\u6700\u591a\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u9078\u64c7\u7684\u662f\u300c\u7531\u529f\u80fd\u7d44\u5225\u9078\u6c11\u63d0\u540d\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u4ea4\u7531\u5168\u6e2f\u9078\u6c11\u6295\u7968\u300d\uff0839.6%\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u6b21\u662f\u300c\u4ee4\u5230\u591a\u4e9b\u884c\u696d\u53ef\u4ee5\u6709\u6b0a\u6295\u7968\u300d\uff0829.1%\uff09\u3001\u300c\u53d6\u6d88\u516c\u53f8\u53ca\u5718\u9ad4\u7968\uff0c\u53ea\u7531\u500b\u4eba\u6295\u7968\u300d\uff0815.3%\uff09\uff0c\u548c\u300c\u7528\u6c11\u9078\u5340\u8b70\u54e1\u4e92\u9078\uff0c\u53d6\u4ee3\u73fe\u6709\u529f\u80fd\u7d44\u5225\u8b70\u5e2d\u300d\uff0810.1%\uff09\uff08\u898b\u8868\u5341\u4e03\uff09\u3002<\/p>
\t\uff08\u4e94\uff09\u5c0d\u300c\u4e94\u5340\u8acb\u8fad\uff0c\u8b8a\u76f8\u516c\u6295\u300d\u7684\u614b\u5ea6<\/p>
\t- \u5c0d\u65bc\u9019\u6b21\u653f\u6539\u722d\u8b70\uff0c\u6709\u6cdb\u6c11\u4e3b\u6d3e\u4eba\u58eb\u5efa\u8b70\uff0c\u7531\u4e94\u4f4d\u6cdb\u6c11\u4e3b\u6d3e\u7acb\u6cd5\u6703\u8b70\u54e1\u8fad\u8077\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u5728\u5168\u6e2f\u4e94\u500b\u9078\u5340\u518d\u53c3\u8207\u88dc\u9078\uff08\u5373\u4e94\u5340\u8acb\u8fad\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u8b8a\u76f8\u516c\u6295\u5f62\u5f0f\u8868\u9054\u5c0d\u653f\u6539\u7684\u610f\u898b\uff0c\u4f7f\u300c\u4e94\u5340\u8acb\u8fad\u3001\u8b8a\u76f8\u516c\u6295\u300d\u6210\u70ba\u9019\u6b21\u653f\u6539\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u4e3b\u8981\u95dc\u6ce8\u9ede\u3002\u5176\u5f8c\uff0c\u516c\u6c11\u9ee8\u548c\u793e\u6c11\u9023\u5ba3\u5e03\u7531\u5169\u9ee8\u7684\u4e94\u4f4d\u7acb\u6cd5\u6703\u8b70\u54e1\u8fad\u8077\uff0c\u6b63\u5f0f\u63a8\u52d5\u6709\u95dc\u5efa\u8b70\u3002\u4eca\u6b21\u7684\u8abf\u67e5\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u6709\u8fd1\u516d\u6210 \uff0859.5%\uff09\u7684\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u8868\u793a\u4e0d\u8d0a\u6210\u9019\u500b\u505a\u6cd5\uff0c\u8d0a\u6210\u7684\u5247\u6709\u8fd1\u4e09\u6210\uff0828.8%\uff09\uff08\u898b\u8868\u5341\u516b\uff09\uff0c\u82e5\u5c07\u5169\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u4f5c\u6bd4\u8f03\uff0c\u4e0d\u8d0a\u6210\u548c\u8d0a\u6210\u7684\u5747\u6709\u4e0a\u5347\uff08\u5206\u5225\u70ba2.8 \u53ca 0.7 \u500b\u5206\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff09\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u8b8a\u5316\u4ecd\u5728\u62bd\u6a23\u8aa4\u5dee\u4e4b\u5167\uff0c\u4f46\u537b\u53cd\u6620\u904e\u53bb\u4e00\u500b\u6708\u7684\u722d\u8ad6\uff0c\u4ee4\u672c\u4f86\u6c92\u8868\u614b\u6c92\u610f\u898b\u7684\u5e02\u6c11\u4f5c\u51fa\u4e86\u6c7a\u5b9a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u53ef\u80fd\u8f03\u591a\u8b8a\u70ba\u53cd\u5c0d\u7e3d\u8fad\u3002
\t- \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u9019\u6b21\u8abf\u67e5\u4ea6\u6709\u8a62\u554f\u81ea\u7a31\u5df2\u767b\u8a18\u70ba\u9078\u6c11\u7684\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u9019\u500b\u9078\u8209\u8209\u884c\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff08\u6211\u5011\u523b\u610f\u4e0d\u7528\u300c\u88dc\u9078\u300d\u6216\u300c\u516c\u6295\u300d\u4f86\u5f62\u5bb9\u9019\u6b21\u9078\u8209\uff0c\u4ee5\u907f\u514d\u5f71\u97ff\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u5c0d\u9019\u6b21\u9078\u8209\u7684\u89c0\u611f\uff09\u6703\u5426\u6295\u7968\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u7d50\u679c\u6709 44.8% \u8868\u793a\u300c\u6703\u300d\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u300c\u4e0d\u6703\u300d\u7684\u4ea6\u6709 39.0%\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u9918 16.2% \u5247\u662f\u56de\u7b54\u300c\u672a\u6c7a\u5b9a\uff0f\u5f88\u96e3\u8aaa\u300d\u6216\u300c\u8996\u4e4e\u60c5\u6cc1\u300d\uff08\u898b\u8868\u5341\u4e5d\uff09\u3002\u7576\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u554f\u53ca\u90a3\u4e9b\u8868\u793a\u6703\u53bb\u6216\u8005\u672a\u6c7a\u5b9a\u662f\u5426\u53bb\u6295\u7968\u7684\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\uff0c\u5047\u82e5\u6703\u53bb\u6295\u7968\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u6703\u5426\u6295\u7968\u4e88\u516c\u6c11\u9ee8\u548c\u793e\u6c11\u9023\u7684\u5019\u9078\u4eba\u6642\uff0c\u6709 36.8% \u8868\u793a\u300c\u6703\u300d\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u300c\u4e0d\u6703\u300d\u7684\u6709 23.8%\uff0c\u4f46\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u7684\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u56de\u7b54\u300c\u6216\u8005\u6703\uff0f\u672a\u6c7a\u5b9a\uff0f\u770b\u60c5\u6cc1\u300d\uff0839.4%\uff09\uff08\u898b\u8868\u4e8c\u5341\uff09\u3002\u904e\u5f80\u7d93\u9a57\u986f\u793a\u554f\u53ca\u300c\u6703\u5426\u6295\u7968\u300d\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u7684\u300c\u793e\u6703\u7406\u60f3\u7b54\u6848\u6548\u61c9\u300d(social desirability effect) \uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u6709\u8fd1\u56db\u6210\u4e94\u7684\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u8868\u793a\u6703\u6295\u7968\uff0c\u5be6\u969b\u6295\u7968\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u4f4e\u5f97\u591a\u3002\u800c\u8868\u793a\u6703\u8003\u616e\u6295\u7968\u8005\u4e2d\u53ea\u6709\u8fd1\u4e09\u6210\u4e03\u660e\u78ba\u8868\u793a\u6703\u6295\u7968\u7d66\u516c\u6c11\u9ee8\u3001\u793e\u6c11\u9023\u5019\u9078\u4eba\uff0c\u5373\u986f\u793a\u88dc\u9078\u7d50\u679c\u4ecd\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u8b8a\u6578\u3002<\/p>
\t\uff08\u516d\uff09\u7e3d\u7d50\u8207\u5efa\u8b70<\/p>
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\t\u3000\u3000\u3000\u9673\u5065\u6c11\u6559\u6388\uff08\u793e\u6703\u5b78\u7cfb\uff09
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