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\u9019\u9805\u7814\u7a76\u662f\u9996\u6b21\u8a55\u4f30\u81ed\u6c27\u3001\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u53ca\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u5316\u4e09\u9805\u56e0\u7d20\u5c0d\u8fb2\u4f5c\u7269\u7684\u5171\u540c\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u4e26\u9810\u6e2c\u6bcf\u4e00\u5e74\u8fb2\u4f5c\u7269\u53d7\u5f71\u97ff\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\u5168\u7403\u98df\u7269\u5b89\u5168\u53ca\u7ce7\u98df\u5371\u6a5f\u5c07\u6703\u52a0\u5287\uff0c\u884c\u52d5\u523b\u4e0d\u5bb9\u7de9\u3002\u76f8\u95dc\u7814\u7a76\u7d50\u679c\u5df2\u520a\u767b\u65bc\u9802\u5c16\u74b0\u5883\u79d1\u5b78\u671f\u520a\u300aEnvironmental Research Letters\u300b\u3002<\/p>\r\n

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\u7814\u7a76\u5718\u968a\u5c07\u806f\u5408\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u9593\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u5316\u5c08\u9580\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08IPCC\uff09\u5831\u544a\u4e2d\u7684\u9ad8\u6eab\u5ba4\u6c23\u9ad4\u6392\u653e\u60c5\u5883\uff08\u4ee3\u8868\u6fc3\u5ea6\u8def\u5f91RCP8.5\uff09[iii]<\/a> \u5957\u7528\u5230JULES\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u5316\u548c\u9ad8\u81ed\u6c27\u6fc3\u5ea6\u5c0e\u81f4\u6240\u6709\u8fb2\u4f5c\u7269\u7684\u7522\u91cf\u9810\u8a08\u6703\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u5341\u5e74\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u7576\u4e2d\uff0c\u5927\u8c46\u7522\u91cf\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u5c24\u5176\u986f\u8457\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u5718\u968a\u6307\u51fa\u5927\u8c46\u690d\u7269\u5c0d\u5730\u8868\u81ed\u6c27\u6c61\u67d3\u7279\u5225\u654f\u611f\u3002<\/p>\r\n

\u7a3b\u7c73\u751f\u9577\u5bb9\u6613\u53d7\u6975\u7aef\u6c23\u5019\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7834\u58de<\/strong><\/p>\r\n

\u662f\u6b21\u7814\u7a76\u4e5f\u8a55\u4f30\u4e86\u5404\u4e3b\u8981\u7ce7\u98df\u751f\u7522\u5730\u5340\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u4e2d\u570b\u3001\u7f8e\u570b\u3001\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u53ca\u6b50\u6d32\uff09\u53d7\u5f71\u97ff\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u6709\u52a9\u4e86\u89e3\u4e0d\u540c\u58d3\u529b\u56e0\u7d20\u5c0d\u8fb2\u4f5c\u7269\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u8ca0\u9762\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u4ee5\u5927\u8c46\u70ba\u4f8b\uff0c\u9810\u6e2c\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u52302100\u5e74\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u5927\u8c46\u7522\u91cf\u5c07\u6e1b\u5c1122%\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u570b\u7522\u91cf\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u66f4\u905442%\u3002<\/p>\r\n

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\u6234\u6c9b\u6b0a\u6559\u6388\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5718\u968a\u6210\u54e1\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u8ad6\u6587\u7b2c\u4e00\u4f5c\u8005\u3001\u74b0\u5883\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u53ca\u53ef\u6301\u7e8c\u767c\u5c55\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u535a\u58eb\u5f8c\u7814\u7a76\u54e1\u6881\u6c9b\u5065\u535a\u58eb<\/strong>\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u300c\u7814\u7a76\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u5316\u7684\u8ca0\u9762\u5f71\u97ff\u662f\u5c0e\u81f4\u71b1\u5e36\u5730\u5340\u8fb2\u4f5c\u7269\u6e1b\u7522\u7684\u4e3b\u56e0\uff0c\u751f\u7522\u7a3b\u7c73\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u9996\u7576\u5176\u885d\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5730\u8868\u81ed\u6c27\u6c61\u67d3\u4e5f\u62b5\u6d88\u4e86\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u65bd\u80a5\u6548\u61c9\u3002\u6211\u5011\u76f8\u4fe1\u9019\u9805\u7814\u7a76\u6709\u52a9\u6211\u5011\u63a8\u52d5\u6d88\u9664\u98e2\u9913\u3001\u5be6\u73fe\u7ce7\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u548c\u6539\u5584\u71df\u990a\u7684\u53ef\u6301\u7e8c\u89e3\u6c7a\u65b9\u6848\u3002\u300d<\/p>\r\n

\u5728\u570b\u969b\u95dc\u4fc2\u60e1\u5316\u3001\u5168\u7403\u75ab\u60c5\u53ca\u7d93\u6fdf\u5371\u6a5f\u7684\u591a\u91cd\u593e\u64ca\u4e0b\uff0c\u7ce7\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u554f\u984c\u5df2\u7d93\u97ff\u8d77\u8b66\u865f\uff0c\u5df2\u767c\u5c55\u570b\u5bb6\u4ea6\u4e0d\u80fd\u7f6e\u8eab\u5ea6\u5916\u3002\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u5316\u53ca\u7a7a\u6c23\u6c61\u67d3\u5c07\u5c0e\u81f4\u7ce7\u98df\u4f9b\u61c9\u66f4\u52a0\u4e0d\u7a69\u5b9a\uff0c\u4ee4\u4e16\u754c\u8207\u806f\u54082030\u5e74\u5be6\u73fe\u96f6\u9951\u9913\u7684\u76ee\u6a19\u6108\u8d70\u6108\u9060\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u5718\u968a\u76f8\u4fe1\u96a8\u7740\u8fb2\u4f5c\u7269\u79d1\u5b78\u6280\u8853\u7684\u9032\u6b65\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u958b\u767c\u4e00\u4e9b\u8010\u71b1\u548c\u8010\u6c27\u7684\u8fb2\u4f5c\u7269\u54c1\u7a2e\uff0c\u914d\u5408\u71df\u990a\u88dc\u5145\uff0c\u9577\u9060\u800c\u8a00\u53ef\u4ee5\u6539\u5584\u7ce7\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u548c\u63d0\u4f9b\u8db3\u5920\u7ce7\u98df\u4ee5\u652f\u6490\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u9577\u3002<\/p>\r\n

\u7814\u7a76\u8ad6\u6587\u5168\u6587\uff1ahttps:\/\/iopscience.iop.org\/article\/10.1088\/1748-9326\/ac7246<\/a><\/p>\r\n

[i]<\/a> Climate Action Tracker | Warming Projections Global Update - November 2021
\r\n\u4f86\u6e90\uff1ahttps:\/\/climateactiontracker.org\/publications\/glasgows-2030-credibility-gap-net-zeros-lip-service-to-climate-action\/<\/a><\/p>\r\n

[ii]<\/a> \u570b\u5bb6\u81ea\u4e3b\u8ca2\u737b (NDC) \u662f\u65e8\u5728\u6e1b\u5c11\u6392\u653e\u3001\u9069\u61c9\u6c23\u5019\u5f71\u97ff\u7684\u6c23\u5019\u884c\u52d5\u8a08\u756b\u3002\u300a\u5df4\u9ece\u5354\u5b9a\u300b193\u500b\u7de0\u7d04\u570b\u90fd\u5df2\u7d93\u8a2d\u5b9a\u9996\u500b\u300c\u570b\u5bb6\u81ea\u4e3b\u8ca2\u737b\u300d\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u4e26\u9808\u6bcf\u4e94\u5e74\u66f4\u65b0\u4e00\u6b21\u3002
\r\n\u4f86\u6e90\uff1ahttps:\/\/www.un.org\/zh\/climatechange\/all-about-ndcs<\/a><\/p>\r\n

[iii]<\/a> \u4ee3\u8868\u6fc3\u5ea6\u8def\u5f91 RCP\u662f\u6307\u4e0d\u540c\u7a0b\u5ea6\u6696\u5316\u8def\u5f91\u7684\u4eba\u70ba\u6eab\u5ba4\u6c23\u9ad4\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u60c5\u5883\u5047\u8a2d\u3002RCP8.5\u4ee3\u8868\u5168\u7403\u6301\u7e8c\u6392\u653e\u5927\u91cf\u6696\u5ba4\u6c23\u9ad4\uff0c\u4e26\u7121\u63a1\u53d6\u6709\u6548\u6e1b\u6392\u63aa\u65bd\uff08\u300c\u4e00\u5207\u5982\u5e38\u300d\uff09\uff0c\u8f3b\u5c04\u5f37\u8feb\u529b\u6703\u57282100\u5e74\u9054\u5230\u6700\u5927\u503c8.5Wm-2\u3002
\r\n\u4f86\u6e90\uff1ahttps:\/\/www.ipcc-data.org\/guidelines\/pages\/glossary\/glossary_r.html<\/a><\/p>","show_as_achievement":false,"achievement_category":[],"show_as_clarification":false,"show_as_announcement":false,"photos":[{"photo":129021,"caption":"\u6234\u6c9b\u6b0a\u6559\u6388\uff08\u53f3\uff09\u53ca\u6881\u6c9b\u5065\u535a\u58eb\uff08\u5de6\uff09\u5728\u91cf\u5ea6\u690d\u7269\u5149\u5408\u4f5c\u7528\u5f37\u5ea6\u3002"},{"photo":131389,"caption":"\u5716\u4e2d\u986f\u793a\u5728\u6eab\u5ba4\u6c23\u9ad4\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff08RCP8.5\uff09\u7684\u60c5\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u56db\u7a2e\u4e3b\u8981\u8fb2\u4f5c\u7269\u7684\u7522\u91cf\u8b8a\u5316\u3002\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\u7a3b\u7c73\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5e45\u5ea6\u6700\u5927\uff0c\u5373\u7a3b\u7c73\u7279\u5225\u5bb9\u6613\u53d7\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u5316\u5f15\u81f4\u7684\u6975\u7aef\u5929\u6c23\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6240\u5f71\u97ff\u3002"},{"photo":128499,"caption":"\u5716\u4e2d\u986f\u793a\u5728\u6eab\u5ba4\u6c23\u9ad4\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff08RCP8.5\uff09\u53ca\u5730\u8868\u81ed\u6c27\u6c61\u67d3\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u60c5\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u56db\u7a2e\u4e3b\u8981\u8fb2\u4f5c\u7269\u7684\u7522\u91cf\u8b8a\u5316\u3002\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\u5927\u8c46\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5e45\u5ea6\u6700\u5927\uff0c\u5373\u5927\u8c46\u5c0d\u5730\u8868\u81ed\u6c27\u7279\u5225\u654f\u611f\u3002"}],"attachments":[{"text":"\u9999\u6e2f\u4e2d\u6587\u5927\u5b78\uff0d\u57c3\u514b\uf96c\u7279\u5927\u5b78\u74b0\u5883\u6301\u7e8c\u8207\u61c9\u8b8a\uf997\u5408\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3","link":"","file":129030}],"video_source":"","video_file":"","add_play_button":false,"video_caption":"","show_migration":false,"original_id":0,"photos_original":null,"attachments_original":null},"publishpress_future_workflow_manual_trigger":{"enabledWorkflows":[]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.cpr.cuhk.edu.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/press\/128476","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.cpr.cuhk.edu.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/press"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.cpr.cuhk.edu.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/press"}],"version-history":[{"count":15,"href":"https:\/\/www.cpr.cuhk.edu.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/press\/128476\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":131390,"href":"https:\/\/www.cpr.cuhk.edu.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/press\/128476\/revisions\/131390"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.cpr.cuhk.edu.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=128476"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.cpr.cuhk.edu.hk\/sc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=128476"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}